This week, we have a 13-fight card in Boise, Idaho. It’s headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that is making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card since it’s only a Fight Night card using lesser known title, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be chasing my fair share of the money and I trust you guys will be . Here are a couple plays I like this weekend and my fade of the week.
Money Game play of this week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” play on this card and also his -300 betting line would agree with me. That is where I will be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure out the rest from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points through his first four UFC fights so he has a whole lot of upside too. He could possible score more than two winners on this card combined. I do think he is in play for GPPs as well for this reason, but he will probably be the heaviest owned fighter on the card and we don’t care about possession as much in money games. I’d suggest paying for the expensive price tag on your cash games and then search for three or more others wins you’re confident in.
GPP drama of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to function as way better striker inside this struggle and I think that is where the fight will occur. He can get KO’d in the opening seconds of this battle and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP play in lieu of a cash match play. With these two Heavyweights, we need to likely find a KO within the 25-minues and I think the former winner, JDS, are the one to receive it. He has good takedown defense so he ought to be able to keep this fight on the toes where he’ll have a 4-inch achieve advantage to use.
Underdog play of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko will be my underdog drama of this week. The odds demonstrate that the fight ought to be rather close and there’s a good possibility that he uses his wrestling to obtain the benefit. In 5 fights he hasn’t seen a decision however, and there is a chance it remains that way if he gets Brown into the floor. Niko includes some slick submissions in his arsenal along with a lot of heart. On the toes, Brown probably has the benefit with his reach, but Cost does have some sneaky power too, which can not be overlooked. Overall, I like this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he’s just $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will need a finish to have a shot at paying off that pricey salary and that I don’t wish to invest in that, personally. He’s never landed more than 1 takedown at a struggle and Wineland has excellent takedown defense, so we should see this fight occur on the toes. I believe Perez needs to be the person to get his hands raised in the conclusion but I think that it’s going to be through conclusion. If that’s true then he could score ~60 points in a win, and also at $9.1k that isn’t going to win anyone a tournament. I will be full fading Perez this week and hoping he doesn’t get the finish and he is my official evaporate of the week.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each fight, my private approaches & recommendations, and my pick outlook for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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