We needed a real nice night with previous night’s FanDuel MLB DFS Picks as we got lots of manufacturing up and down the lineup.
Our pitcher, Domingo German, got things off to a wonderful start as he hurled seven innings of all two-run ball with seven strikeouts in a winning effort within the Baltimore Orioles. The right-hander let a pair of solo home runs that accounted for all the damage done from him in such a one.
Our three-man Cubs stack did a wonderful job also. Nicholas Castellanos remained white-hot, particularly against left-wing pitching, using a solo home run off of Jason Vargas and also singled and scored an additional run as well. Kris Bryant doubled and walked while Javier Baez walked recorded with an RBI, but made good on his unique stolen base splits against left wing pitching using a sneak off of Vargas, his 10th of the year. Quality manufacturing here.
We did really well in our Tigers stack. Jake Rogers maintained the power stroke going with a home run in this one, a two-run shooter to grow his walk. Travis Demeritte had another wonderful game that included a set of singles, a pair of runs scored and yet another stolen base, his third at only his 12th huge league game. Finally Brandon Dixon provided a double but sadly also struck four occasions. We obtained excellent manufacturing in this trio.
I rostered two one-offs last night, and one of these delivered some big-time harm as Brian Dozier continued his assault on left handed pitching using a home run from southpaw Alex Wood. Fellow one-off Josh VanMeter did not provide value with just a single at the night, but it is much better than nothing.
It was a wonderful night all night and I will look to make it 2 in a row tonight’s little six-game major slate.
P — Aaron Nola (PHI) — $10,100 vs. CHC
The top arm with this record is left-hander Clayton Kershaw because he chooses on the Miami Marlins in Miami tonight, but I am likely to rally to right-hander Aaron Nola because he chooses on the Cubs in his home playground of Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia this evening. Kershaw is the clear cash play, but I am going GPP on this lineup tonight. Anyway, Nola has been excellent at home that year where he has submitted a 3.07 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 3.73 xFIP plus a 10.78 K/9 around over 90 house innings this year in contrast to his 4.63 ERA, 4.99 FIP and also 9.11 K/9 across nearly half of the innings in contrast to his job in your home. Certainly, we’ve got something to work with here since Nola has been very good at home more often than not this year despite a shaky beginning. His last start at home came against the White Sox when he hurled seven innings of one-run ball with 10 punchouts to boot. That marks the third period in the last six starts at home in which the 2018 NL Cy Young candidate has attained 10 strikeouts. The Cubs are a dangerous offense to be certain since they rank seventh in wOBA versus right-handed pitching, but that fact together with his cost could keep Nola lower owned than you may think. I am prepared to roll the dice GPPs tonight.
C/1B — Jake Rogers (DET) — $3,000 vs. SEA
Once more I am going to be rolling up with a pair of three-man piles in this one tonight and rostering a few one-offs to complement the piles. My three-man Tigers stack kicks off with Rogers since I’m picking him on both Miguel Cabrera and Brandon Dixon at similar price points at the C/1B place. In other words, Rogers is the hottest bat of this three and I wish to keep on him while he is swinging that strong stick that he’s placed on display in three individual stops this season, a journey that began at Double-A. He’s going to play almost everyday at this stage awarded his elite defense behind the plate, but Rogers could become a wonderful source of electricity from beneath the dish as he’s homered four times within only 11 matches and 44 plate appearances at the MLB level this season. If you mix all 3 degrees, Rogers has smacked 18 home runs in 87 matches on the season. He hit left-handed pitching to get a great .844 OPS at Triple-A prior to his call up, and that is what he will see tonight against southpaw Marco Gonzales. Rogers is now two for 6 with 2 home runs against left-handers at the major league level for example last night’s taken from southpaw Yusei Kikuchi. I think some more electricity could be generated within this matchup tonight.
2B — Niko Goodrum (DET) — $3,200 vs. SEA
Goodrum wasn’t a part of my Tigers stack last night due to cost and the makeup of this lineup, but he’s going be in this 1 tonight as he will form a wrap-around stack with Rogers and a Tigers outfielder in this 1 tonight. I desired him last night’s heap as his bat is effective against left-handed pitching, although he does sport some unique splits. The extra-base energy is increased against righties since Goodrum possesses a .173 ISO against righties when compared with some .159 mark against lefties. But from there on out, the switch-hitting Goodrum’s divides prefer facing left-handed pitching. Goodrum is hitting on .364 using a .941 OPS, .393 wOBA and also a 147 wRC+ to the season against left-handed pitching. The figures are especially better on the road against lefties, but I am not too concerned because he doubled in last night’s game and scored a pair of runs against the southpaw Kikuchi. There’s also the simple fact that Goodrum has been very good because the return from the All-Star break as he owns a .213 ISO, .853 OPS, .355 wOBA and 122 wRC+ as July 12th. Ultimately, we’ve got some stolen base upside here as Goodrum has swiped 12 foundations on the year, and three of which come against a lefty.
3B — Sean Rodriguez (PHI) — $2,200 vs. CHC
My stacks are not exactly on the cheap side, especially my main pile, therefore I had to find a couple of value one-offs to make my lineup match under the salary cap on this slate tonight. I think I have found some value in the bat of Sean Rodriguez as he chooses on left-hander Cole Hamels along with the Chicago Cubs. Rodriguez has left his big league cash by doing harm against left-wing pitching throughout his career. In his profession against southpaws,” Rodriguez owns a .168 ISO, .763 OPS, .336 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Those amounts are especially superior compared to the .146 ISO, .625 OPS, .275 wOBA and 71 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. The splits are broad again this season because he’s smacked all three of the homers against left pitching in only 43 at-bats contrary to them. He is hitting .279 with a .233 ISO, .879 OPS, .370 wOBA along with also a 129 wRC+ from left-handed pitching this season in that small 43 at-bat sample size. He’s also produced a .350 ISO 1.041 OPS, .425 wOBA along with 164 wRC+ in the home against lefties this year in a 20 at-bats sample dimensions as two of the homers this season have come from that interval. Obviously, we have something to work with here in terms of expressing value in Rodriguez’s bat tonight.
SS — Charlie Culberson (ATL) — $2,100 vs. NYM
The final one-off of this lineup tonight is the Braves’ Charlie Culberson who comes at a near-minimum cost against left-hander Steven Matz and also the New York Mets. It’s been a tale of two seasons to get Matz given his home/away divides this season. In the home, he possesses a eye-popping 2.14 ERA, but he has been brutalized on the road to get a 6.79 ERA while his 6.43 FIP and 5.23 xFIP together with a 2.59 HR/9 on the road don’t exactly paint a much bigger picture. This could be an excellent thing for Culberson and also the Braves as a Braves stack could be used tonight too. Nevertheless, I like Culberson as a value one-off too. He is enjoying yet another successful year in part time duty as evidenced by his own .345 wOBA along with 110 wRC+ on this season. But, Culberson is doing any serious harm against left-handed pitching as he owns a large .405 average, .262 ISO, 1.085 OPS, .449 wOBA plus also a 178 wRC+ over the season vs southpaw pitching. The sample is modest at only 42 at-bats, but the production is actual. None of the strikes went for extra-bases, but Culberson is 2 for 4 with a stolen base in his short history against Matz. I think there is a ton of upside in these two one-off worth plays tonight.
OF — Travis Demeritte (DET) — $2,900 vs. SEA
Completing our three-man Tigers pile is Demeritte who proceeds to impress because coming over from the Braves at the trade deadline and immediately getting his promotion to the big leagues for the first time in his career. His cross-category potential was on screen in last night’s match as he also had a group of singles, scored two runs and used his brakes to sneak his third base of the year in just his 12th MLB match. For what it is worth, he also added four rebounds in Triple-A in the Braves’ organization ahead of the transaction. It was nice to find him have some victory against a left-hander in last night’s match as he had not done a small sample prior to last night’s contest, at least at the big leagues. In Triple-A, Demeritte penalized southpaws to get a .954 OPS this year while eight of the 20 home runs at Triple-A came from a left-hander in about half as many at-bats since he had against righties. Demeritte has shown wonderful consistency since arriving to Detroit as he is recorded at least one hit in eight of his 12 games, for example in each of the last seven. The 24-year-old is set to acquire a long look in the Tigers’ outfield for the remainder of the year and I’ll search for him to continue to make the most of the chance again tonight.
OF — Mike Trout (LAA) — $4,800 vs. PIT
The Angels and Pirates keep their show from Anaheim tonight along with the Angels get a real fine house matchup against right-hander Chris Archer who has mostly struggled on the road this season. Archer enters this only sporting a 6.66 ERA on the road this season while he’s allowed a whopping 2.05 HR/9 around the road too. His 4.94 FIP and 4.32 xFIP suggest there’s some positive regression to be needed for Archer on the road this year, but to be quite honest I will just roll three Angels who hit right-handed pitching for lots of home run power and watch where it carries me. Trout is competing for a home run crown this year and his splits prefer this matchup. The righty-swinging Trout has exceptional numbers versus righties than lefties in the kind of a .389 ISO, 1.136 OPS, .452 wOBA and a 191 wRC+ vs righties on the season. His numbers versus righties in the home are largely similar. We get several stolen foundation uspide with Trout and he has nine steals on the year, and seven of which have come from righties. Archer is prone to the stolen base plus I like the fact that Trout includes three steals against him even though a .227 batting average in 22 career at-bats contrary to him. Nevertheless, awarded Archer’s street work and home run woes this season, Trout is again a high-ceiling play tonight.
OF — Shohei Ohtani (LAA) — $3,500 vs. PIT
Next person up in our three-man Angels pile is Ohtani who proceeds to hit right-handed pitching for lots of power, especially in the home. Add into his speed on the basepaths and we surely have plenty of cross-category upside within this matchup tonight. Entering perform tonight, Ohtani possesses a .245 ISO, .902 OPS, .371 wOBA along with 136 wRC+ on the season versus right-handed pitching. Furthermore, he’s submitted a .320 ISO, 1.076 OPS, .431 wOBA along with 176 wRC+ on the year against lefties in the home. Ohtani has utilized his speed to steal 10 bases on this season, nine of which have come from right-wing pitching. It’s been a fairly quiet second half to the two-way star, however he’s caught fire during the last four matches and also enjoyed a big night in the night’s game as well. Over his last four games, he’s gone for 20 (.400) with 2 doubles, a triple, four runs scored, six RBI and a stolen base to boot up. Yesterday evening he went 2 for 5 with a double, a triple, two runs, two RBI and a stolen base. Ohtani is among those bata that you need to ride when hot and that’s just what I will do in a favorable home matchup at which he does his very best work.
UTIL — Justin Upton (LAA) — $3,100 vs. PIT
Upton has seen activity in only 40 games this year thanks to an accident that cost him a huge chunk of this year’s first half, but the guy is once again displaying some reverse-splits and mashing right-handed pitching here in 2019. Entering this 1 tonight, Upton sports a .238 ISO, .871 OPS, .360 wOBA and 129 wRC+ to the season against right-handed pitching. The amounts are better on the road against righties, but given the small sample I am not concerned about this to be totally honest. This marks the second consecutive season he’s posted some showy reverse-splits as he set up a .232 ISO, .875 OPS, .373 wOBA along with 141 wRC+ against righties last year compared to a .125 ISO, .593 OPS, .265 wOBA and 67 wRC+ from lefties this year. He has not ran much this season with only one steal so much, but he’s listed 22 steals within the past two seasons and using Archer allowing his fair share of steals, perhaps the stolen base upside down gets a few ticks in the right way in this one. I am more intrigued by the energy upside down to be convinced and this three-man Angels heap brings lots of that against a pitcher allowing a lot of home runs this year.
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