Arquivos diários: 17 de outubro de 2019

Point/Counterpoint: Notre Dame vs Louisville – Free NCAAF Betting Picks

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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and render our school football selections on the Monday night match between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and I will deviate to dip our toes into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the very first and only time this year we do this, as the last week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to a regular-season sport of NCAA soccer comprising one of the greatest clubs in the nation, and a legendary football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us begin the discussion after my friend Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while the Titans were backed by me. We have been swapping wins back and on so it looks like it is my turn to the wreath, as I will follow the squares laying the lumber that is heavy onto a public road favorite and heartily endorse the Irish.
After reviewing the college football odds almost six days prior to this Monday night event, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the preferred, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is presently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board whatsoever of the best internet sportsbooks.
Doug, I enjoy the Irish but you are currently leaning in this season-opening battle onto the Cardinals. Besides the place do you believe Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes IMO and a successful win, said a great deal about both the Steelers and Titans direction. Let us move ahead to real football, in which the matches count and so will our recordings with this one.
Remember those Thursday night matches Louisville used to play against big-name opponents? They held their own and engineered many upsets. These were fun games to see and the Cardinals were a thrilling golf club.
However, for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles at Appalachian State and will be out to change the civilization and win matches. This will not happen right away as the talent level is down in theVille. Nonethelessthis is a time for Louisville, a group which has the chance to begin taking steps.
Ive read where the Cards coaches have popped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall since the lead running back. Than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the defense, well, that makes me more nervous. You have up your Irish please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest flying into this game. Scott Satterfield is now in the big leagues and hes got a group coming from a dismal 2-10 record in which they went winless in ACC action this past year. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and trying to turn it into an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is facing a team which made it into the CFP this past year and owned one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the normal season and moving a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense was clicking on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per game.
My issue is, just how will be a quarterback like traveling whos slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a British defense? Especially when he is working with a trainer and an offensive strategy that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, save me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form where Louisville is going to be able to keep pace with this Golden Domers and I am desperate to the ancestral wisdom and prodigious handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im pleased to read in your last sentence youre coming over to the bright side of sports betting, or you are simply being the exact shrewd a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers that are making college football picks decide on that. I am the first to realize Louisville completely sucked and wasnt only 2-10, however 1-11 ATS final year.
But that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up about the Atlanta Falcons. A new coach brings a fresh attitude and with this being a national match, Satterfield will market his staff on making a statement. Louisville does need to hope the Irish will take them for granted and never have a lot of fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly using all the gold and blue is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also when dishing out 20 or more specimens, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. This defense you mentioned may improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, when you dont/cant amuse like Clemson or Bama, it will take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because though you have an impressive handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this event, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville might be greater than last year but Id submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their deplorable record rendered by an equally awkward coach such as Petrino.
I understand that placing nearly three touchdowns on the road is square biz for certain along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy street chalk, but at times the people is correct, and also in this situation they are. Until next week once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, then lets see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come ready to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)

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Cardinals vs Rockies: Free MLB Betting Picks & Game Predictions

The Rockies had lost 10 of the past 11 till they defied the odds and notched a victory over the Cardinals, a group to which they had dropped five straight before previous night. Nolan Arenado provided all the offense when he smashed a two-run monster taken in the first inning that could seal the deal to Colorado the Rockies would need.
The Cardinals will lick their wounds and attempt to return to the business of winning where they hold a four-game contribute over the Cubs. Tonight, they will ship Dakota Hudson (15-6, 3.40 ERA, 1.41 WHIP) to the hill where he will look to keep his roster after winning five consecutive starts and now includes 15 wins on the season, only the second newcomer Cardinal pitcher to achieve this in over 50 years.
Antonio Senzatela (8-10, 7.19 ERA, 1.79 WHIP) has been pretty much a train wreck since July 5th, permitting no less than six runs before a week ago if he allowed five runs on five hits before he was awarded the hook following three full innings in a 7-2 loss to the Dodgers. The 24-year-old righty faced the Cardinals on August 25th where he lasted only one and also two-thirds of an inning after surrendering six runs on five hits in an 11-4 setback to St. Louis.
The MLB odds being offered at all of the very best online sportsbooks reveal this line has jumped out of St. Louis -145 to as high as -160 for this writing. It would be this one as Senzatela was nothing short of hellacious over the last two 29, if there was a spot to fade a starting pitcher. It is a bit bewildering he hasn’t been demoted at a stage in the season in which the Rockies are playing for nothing more than an obligation.
Conversely, the Cardinals’ Dakota Hudson has been brilliant lately, submitting a 1.37 ERA over his last four starts. Over six innings in which he allowed just two hits in a 6-0 victory for the Redbirds , he blanked the Rockies on August 24th. Hudson will not face a lineup he has deftly handled but.
Despite the fact that we’ll have to lay close to -150 to find the chalky traffic in this one, anything under -200 looks like value to me personally St. Louis. I see that is a cost we can consume and that BetOnline is supplying the Cards at -147. Back St. Louis over the Rockies on Wednesday evening and money on your MLB selections a ticket!
Score: Cardinals 8 — Rockies 3
Free MLB Pick: St. Louis ML (-147) at BetOnline

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BIG MARLEY’S UFC 235 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week and I can’t wait to chase these huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k belongs to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only tournament for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I won my first seat into it last week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $50k prize, then I will likely have a couple shots in the Qualifier. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for the cash game lineup this week in his -800 betting line. I will take that free square foot and move on. He must dominate this battle and he can complete it on the toes or the ground. I expect him to score over 100-points and I am totally fine with paying 9.6k for it. When I’m making lineups, I want to try and have at least 10x from each fighter. With Jones being 9.6k, I need at least 96 points from him. That is the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round battle and I did not think Jones could find a finish then maybe he only dents 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t need that. However, this is a possible 5-round battle, and that I do expect Jones to dominate, so that price tag is fine with me. For GPPs, I believe that you can get from Jon Jones since he’ll be quite highly owned. If he’s 50% owned by the field and he only scores 85-90 DK points, then will pretty much kill half the area since that would not be enough points to put him that $50k lineup.
GPP play of the week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it’ll be out of his wrestling. He’s one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and now he is finally getting an opportunity from the UFC after controlling every business he has been in. He will not want to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, therefore I expect him to shoot for takedowns straight away and chain wrestle until he receives them. Once he gets top control there isn’t likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the ground and he must take a beating as long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, each takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points for a significant strike. A guy like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns at 15-minutes and that is what makes him a great play if he is able to come up with the victory.
Play of this week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This really isn’t the Diego Sanchez of older, but I believe he has what it takes to beat Mickey Gall. On the toes, the quantity alone from Sanchez should acquire it for him there as long as he doesn’t get pumped out. The chin of Diego is exactly what I fear about most nowadays, but Gall is not much of a striker and that I don’t see him becoming knockout. In addition, I don’t know that Gall can get takedowns, and that I believe Sanchez are the more likely guy to be on top if the struggle hits the floor. A entry is Gall’s best chance at a win here and Sanchez hasn’t been submitted. We must have underdogs within our DK lineups and at $7.1k Diego allows us to cover up for all those men like Jon Jones or Ben Askren. If he could grind a decision triumph here I think he can become 10x that wages and when we could get a win against him at that cheap salary, I think we’ll be in line for that $50k win if we hit our other 5 spots.
Fade of the week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might end up using each fighter because I am making so many lineups this week, but Anthony Smith is the guy I want the very least of. I try to get a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I do not think there are any need to fade favorites this week. Rather, I am going with the 1 fighter I don’t think stands a opportunity. I believe that a fluke KO is the only route to victory for Smith and that he really doesn’t have the 1 punch/kick power it would take to pull off. I would be shocked when Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I was making 20 or less lineups, he’d be an easy fade.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 58-37 for +177.62un (+$17,762) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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UFC Fight Night 155 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide ‘Sacramento’ fights

Golden 1 Center at Sacramento, Calif., hosts the hottest Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) event to flow on ESPN+ this Saturday evening (July 13, 2019), bringing with it a battle of women’s Bantamweight contenders and among the city’s most beloved exports.
UFC Fight Night 155′s most important event sees Aspen Ladd and Germaine de Randamie make their cases that they deserve to leapfrog Ketlen Vieira from the 135-pound rankings and receive a crack at dominant branch winner, Amanda Nunes, while leading potential Ricky Simon welcomes Urijah Faber straight back to the Octagon for his first appearance since 2016 one struggle ahead. Additional primary card attractions include Featherweight knockout artist Josh Emmett against super-prospect Mirsad Bektic and Middleweight kickboxing veteran Karl Roberson carrying on debuting Brazilian Wellington Turman.
It’s an eclectic collection of struggles, but one that I really think we could make a profit out of. Let’s begin!
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What Went Wrong at UFC 239?
Don’t bet on a whim, children! It is bad for the bottom line. I initially just had the Julia Avila / Michael Chiesa parlay, but chose to add the Luke Rockhold / Chiesa pick prior to printing. You would think I’d have learned not to bet on or against Jan Blachowicz at this point, but I didn’t get to where I am now by having any sort of pattern recognition.
UFC Fight Night 155 Opportunities For Your Undercard:
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Mike Rodriguez (-420) vs. John Allan (+335)
Sheymon Moraes (-120) vs. Andre Fili (EVEN)
Julianna Pena (-165) vs. Nicco Monta??o (+145)
Ryan Hall (-115) vs. Darren Elkins (-105)
Brianna Van Buren (-125) vs. Livinha Souza (+105)
Liu Pingyuan (-140) vs. Jonathan Martinez (+120)
Vince Morales (-145) vs. Benito Lopez (+125)

Read more: https://bcuknowledgenow.com/football/

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