This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a great deal of cash from this week and I can’t wait to chase these huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k belongs to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only tournament for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I won my first seat into it last week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $50k prize, then I will likely have a couple shots in the Qualifier. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for the cash game lineup this week in his -800 betting line. I will take that free square foot and move on. He must dominate this battle and he can complete it on the toes or the ground. I expect him to score over 100-points and I am totally fine with paying 9.6k for it. When I’m making lineups, I want to try and have at least 10x from each fighter. With Jones being 9.6k, I need at least 96 points from him. That is the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round battle and I did not think Jones could find a finish then maybe he only dents 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t need that. However, this is a possible 5-round battle, and that I do expect Jones to dominate, so that price tag is fine with me. For GPPs, I believe that you can get from Jon Jones since he’ll be quite highly owned. If he’s 50% owned by the field and he only scores 85-90 DK points, then will pretty much kill half the area since that would not be enough points to put him that $50k lineup.
GPP play of the week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it’ll be out of his wrestling. He’s one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and now he is finally getting an opportunity from the UFC after controlling every business he has been in. He will not want to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, therefore I expect him to shoot for takedowns straight away and chain wrestle until he receives them. Once he gets top control there isn’t likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the ground and he must take a beating as long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, each takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points for a significant strike. A guy like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns at 15-minutes and that is what makes him a great play if he is able to come up with the victory.
Play of this week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This really isn’t the Diego Sanchez of older, but I believe he has what it takes to beat Mickey Gall. On the toes, the quantity alone from Sanchez should acquire it for him there as long as he doesn’t get pumped out. The chin of Diego is exactly what I fear about most nowadays, but Gall is not much of a striker and that I don’t see him becoming knockout. In addition, I don’t know that Gall can get takedowns, and that I believe Sanchez are the more likely guy to be on top if the struggle hits the floor. A entry is Gall’s best chance at a win here and Sanchez hasn’t been submitted. We must have underdogs within our DK lineups and at $7.1k Diego allows us to cover up for all those men like Jon Jones or Ben Askren. If he could grind a decision triumph here I think he can become 10x that wages and when we could get a win against him at that cheap salary, I think we’ll be in line for that $50k win if we hit our other 5 spots.
Fade of the week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might end up using each fighter because I am making so many lineups this week, but Anthony Smith is the guy I want the very least of. I try to get a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I do not think there are any need to fade favorites this week. Rather, I am going with the 1 fighter I don’t think stands a opportunity. I believe that a fluke KO is the only route to victory for Smith and that he really doesn’t have the 1 punch/kick power it would take to pull off. I would be shocked when Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I was making 20 or less lineups, he’d be an easy fade.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I’m 58-37 for +177.62un (+$17,762) since May 19th on Premium Plays)
Arquivos mensais: outubro 2019
UFC Fight Night 155 odds: Latest Vegas lines and betting guide ‘Sacramento’ fights
Golden 1 Center at Sacramento, Calif., hosts the hottest Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) event to flow on ESPN+ this Saturday evening (July 13, 2019), bringing with it a battle of women’s Bantamweight contenders and among the city’s most beloved exports.
UFC Fight Night 155′s most important event sees Aspen Ladd and Germaine de Randamie make their cases that they deserve to leapfrog Ketlen Vieira from the 135-pound rankings and receive a crack at dominant branch winner, Amanda Nunes, while leading potential Ricky Simon welcomes Urijah Faber straight back to the Octagon for his first appearance since 2016 one struggle ahead. Additional primary card attractions include Featherweight knockout artist Josh Emmett against super-prospect Mirsad Bektic and Middleweight kickboxing veteran Karl Roberson carrying on debuting Brazilian Wellington Turman.
It’s an eclectic collection of struggles, but one that I really think we could make a profit out of. Let’s begin!
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What Went Wrong at UFC 239?
Don’t bet on a whim, children! It is bad for the bottom line. I initially just had the Julia Avila / Michael Chiesa parlay, but chose to add the Luke Rockhold / Chiesa pick prior to printing. You would think I’d have learned not to bet on or against Jan Blachowicz at this point, but I didn’t get to where I am now by having any sort of pattern recognition.
UFC Fight Night 155 Opportunities For Your Undercard:
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Predictions! UFC ‘Sacramento’ ‘Prelims’ Preview – Pt. 1
Predictions! UFC ‘Sacramento’ ‘Prelims’ Preview – Pt. 2
Mike Rodriguez (-420) vs. John Allan (+335)
Sheymon Moraes (-120) vs. Andre Fili (EVEN)
Julianna Pena (-165) vs. Nicco Monta??o (+145)
Ryan Hall (-115) vs. Darren Elkins (-105)
Brianna Van Buren (-125) vs. Livinha Souza (+105)
Liu Pingyuan (-140) vs. Jonathan Martinez (+120)
Vince Morales (-145) vs. Benito Lopez (+125)
Read more: https://bcuknowledgenow.com/football/
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